Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 13.770505 16.029072 18.487510 21.355219 24.601102 28.153529 32.327953
2025-08-17 9.637572 12.631083 16.224344 20.821105 26.507648 33.271361 41.880648
2025-08-24 7.199527 10.390137 14.531632 20.225242 27.761446 37.297262 50.162246
2025-08-31 5.470593 8.595671 12.938059 19.285993 28.177125 40.013682 56.751420
2025-09-07 4.626967 7.815697 12.507778 19.724076 30.306971 44.980795 66.516511
2025-09-14 3.972561 7.172483 12.133235 20.118248 32.314566 49.837477 76.394425
2025-09-21 3.298236 6.362460 11.362980 19.775474 33.134844 52.985517 83.990311
2025-09-28 2.721453 5.602793 10.545632 19.221229 33.516449 55.438692 90.651303
2025-10-05 2.570252 5.567700 10.912544 20.603259 37.023904 62.809148 105.099612
2025-10-12 2.392154 5.448220 11.107525 21.695684 40.124384 69.722294 119.232439
2025-10-19 2.127029 5.110167 10.859588 21.975559 41.868040 74.566186 130.376010
2025-10-26 1.867816 4.736328 10.490629 21.984391 43.122244 78.661815 140.518021
2025-11-02 1.569584 4.243974 9.867834 21.535327 43.678977 81.884818 149.874237
2025-11-09 1.306166 3.778489 9.238843 21.017537 44.099629 84.976498 159.353996
2025-11-16 1.080787 3.349451 8.614088 20.420211 44.297588 87.673425 168.317987
2025-11-23 0.870529 2.903160 7.872063 19.473656 43.710647 88.897068 174.760932
2025-11-30 0.780619 2.758041 7.791846 19.915529 45.876942 95.237480 190.584175
2025-12-07 0.699545 2.617601 7.698940 20.313032 47.977675 101.577311 206.747931
2025-12-14 0.592931 2.370967 7.301343 19.967381 48.501282 104.959595 217.682795
2025-12-21 0.493807 2.117786 6.840324 19.408465 48.508043 107.325731 226.836456
2025-12-28 0.483257 2.160495 7.176223 20.802111 52.854521 118.439501 253.045013
2026-01-04 0.461286 2.157522 7.385318 21.903644 56.636330 128.635091 277.979987
2026-01-11 0.413868 2.047727 7.274215 22.185842 58.599324 135.279410 296.383385